Stock Market
Moderator: Mike Simanyi
- Larry Andrews
- Posts: 211
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Car#: 0
- Location: In the Santa Cruz mtns, with two chainsaws and a beer.
Re: Stock Market
This won't hurt - it's only *my* pump.
- Steve Ekstrand
- Solo Safety Steward
- Posts: 7482
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: CASOC
- Car#: 15
- Location: This space left intentionally blank
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
The bailout can't be questioned.... I hope we learn from how we got there.
Dr. Conemangler
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
-
- Posts: 2761
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
Re: Stock Market
HOLY **** 600 point drop then now only a 450 drop. It's getting NASTY out there. The building right by my apt USED to be "World Savings Bank". They JUST recently changed it to Wachovia.......HAHAH! Better get the cranes out to change it again. Citibank just bought them out!
Luckily I bank with Wells Fargo.
Luckily I bank with Wells Fargo.
- Steve Ekstrand
- Solo Safety Steward
- Posts: 7482
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: CASOC
- Car#: 15
- Location: This space left intentionally blank
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
The trustee in Stacey's probate has an eight figure amount deposited in banks that are NOT Wells Fargo, BofA, or JPMorganChase.
How do you get that stupid? There's a reason T-Bills are paying NOTHING. Because not even the most dense drunkard idiot would keep much more than a $100K in a bank right now. NOt even the holy big three though I think those are safe. I don't trust Citi, though it will probably survive. But why risk your fortune or your retirement? A diversified stock portfolio might take a 30% hit in a financial collapse. Multi-million dollar accounts in a bank can become $100k overnight. That's insanity.
Cramer made an interesting point the other day. Why do limit insurance at $100K? That no longer really covers even lower middle class retirement accounts. Why do we want to encourage people with a million dollars to take 90% of there money out of banks? The banks need the deposit base right now to keep them afloat or the taxpayers have to, yet we have a system in place which demands that sane people bailout. Fortunately, for our nationals financial system, our trustee is not sane.
How do you get that stupid? There's a reason T-Bills are paying NOTHING. Because not even the most dense drunkard idiot would keep much more than a $100K in a bank right now. NOt even the holy big three though I think those are safe. I don't trust Citi, though it will probably survive. But why risk your fortune or your retirement? A diversified stock portfolio might take a 30% hit in a financial collapse. Multi-million dollar accounts in a bank can become $100k overnight. That's insanity.
Cramer made an interesting point the other day. Why do limit insurance at $100K? That no longer really covers even lower middle class retirement accounts. Why do we want to encourage people with a million dollars to take 90% of there money out of banks? The banks need the deposit base right now to keep them afloat or the taxpayers have to, yet we have a system in place which demands that sane people bailout. Fortunately, for our nationals financial system, our trustee is not sane.

Dr. Conemangler
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
- Steve Ekstrand
- Solo Safety Steward
- Posts: 7482
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: CASOC
- Car#: 15
- Location: This space left intentionally blank
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
WooHoo!!!
DJIA down 723
The house of reps is panicked because the people are against the bailout. Just ignorance. We don't have options here. And there isn't a way to get the blood main street populists are demanding. An apology from Wall St????? Who exactly is that? Cash from Wall Street execs? For bad loans written by Golden West 5 years ago? Its not a cash handout to zillionares on Wall Street. It is a plan to provide a market for illiquid assets which otherwise must be written down to zero. By offering a well financed fund that can provide a market for these securities with a longer term focus, you speed the financial markets back to a normal liquid state. But everybody wants their pound of flesh and they want blame and credit and partisan posturing.
The result could be something so bad and so scary that I would swore to you it could NEVER happen. And the damage could take generations to heal.
DJIA down 723
The house of reps is panicked because the people are against the bailout. Just ignorance. We don't have options here. And there isn't a way to get the blood main street populists are demanding. An apology from Wall St????? Who exactly is that? Cash from Wall Street execs? For bad loans written by Golden West 5 years ago? Its not a cash handout to zillionares on Wall Street. It is a plan to provide a market for illiquid assets which otherwise must be written down to zero. By offering a well financed fund that can provide a market for these securities with a longer term focus, you speed the financial markets back to a normal liquid state. But everybody wants their pound of flesh and they want blame and credit and partisan posturing.
The result could be something so bad and so scary that I would swore to you it could NEVER happen. And the damage could take generations to heal.
Dr. Conemangler
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
- Will Kalman
- Posts: 1210
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:24 am
- Club: PSCC
- Car#: 232
Re: Stock Market
I don't doubt that Wall Street zillionaires will be profiting from this nicely. Maybe some of them who profited from creating this mess initially.Steve Ekstrand wrote:WooHoo!!!
DJIA down 723
The house of reps is panicked because the people are against the bailout. Just ignorance. We don't have options here. And there isn't a way to get the blood main street populists are demanding. An apology from Wall St????? Who exactly is that? Cash from Wall Street execs? For bad loans written by Golden West 5 years ago? Its not a cash handout to zillionares on Wall Street. It is a plan to provide a market for illiquid assets which otherwise must be written down to zero. By offering a well financed fund that can provide a market for these securities with a longer term focus, you speed the financial markets back to a normal liquid state. But everybody wants their pound of flesh and they want blame and credit and partisan posturing.
The result could be something so bad and so scary that I would swore to you it could NEVER happen. And the damage could take generations to heal.
So when, where, and how does the bailout money come back to the government/people?
- Steve Ekstrand
- Solo Safety Steward
- Posts: 7482
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: CASOC
- Car#: 15
- Location: This space left intentionally blank
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
With the DJIA cresting at down 700 or so, I pulled the trigger on about a $100K worth of NOV, FCX, FWLT, and PWR. The biggest chunk devoted to a 1000 shares of NOV at $43.20. I don't like to play desperate make up when things are insane.... But gesh. I don't think the market is really paying attention to the nature of the contracts for NOV and FWLT and RIG. Oil drops to $75 and it really won't affect the bottom line that much for these companies. And they got slammed another 20% after already being crushed. That's too big of a sale for me to pass on...
Final numbers for the DJIA is looking ugly. Looks like a last minute dumping has already moved the index a 100 pts AFTER the bell. Settling in on 735 down right now. Or 738..... Looks like my quickie purchases are up 5% though in the last half hour of trading. Doesn't much help the worst single day I've ever experienced. Because of my 35% exposure to oil and gas/commodities, I was down over 9% on my equities account.
Final numbers for the DJIA is looking ugly. Looks like a last minute dumping has already moved the index a 100 pts AFTER the bell. Settling in on 735 down right now. Or 738..... Looks like my quickie purchases are up 5% though in the last half hour of trading. Doesn't much help the worst single day I've ever experienced. Because of my 35% exposure to oil and gas/commodities, I was down over 9% on my equities account.
Dr. Conemangler
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
-
- Posts: 2761
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
Re: Stock Market
Another BLACK MONDAY on Wall St. There goes my 401( k )
-
- Posts: 2761
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
Re: Stock Market
777.68 to be exact........but who's counting!Steve Ekstrand wrote:Settling in on 735 down right now. Or 738.....

- Steve Ekstrand
- Solo Safety Steward
- Posts: 7482
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: CASOC
- Car#: 15
- Location: This space left intentionally blank
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
Who knows what the final plan looks like/will look like.
But the initial Paulson idea was simple. The gov't sets up an RTC type outfit that buys mortgages from the institutions. The current market value on a mark to market basis is approaching zero, there is no market. But if you are not tied to the demands to write down or limit exposure or get them off your books, they might be work something longer term or at maturity. So, the gov't buys stuff at say 25 cents on the dollar and 10 years from now its worth 50 cents on the dollar. At current rates of return, that wouldn't be such a bad thing and it wouldn't be all that unrealistic. The original plan was simple and could have even been profitable. Meantime if the gov't is the holder of the worst of the mortgages, the gov't could decide how friendly it would like to be with short sales and workouts and foreclosure moratoriums.
However things change when you let idiots get involved (politicians). So, now I hear all kinds of deviations and an insurance plan instead of a purchase plan. I just don't know where it all stands now. To much pain and drugs right now to devote any focus other than, do I put all my available cash into chasing my worst stocks on a down 700 point day.
Oops djia now down 777.68.... A good 150 point adjustment after the close. The ticker melted down. I'm curious what volume is going to be the last hour. And that huge ending sell off was all with the politicians talking in DC. Could somebody cut their mics???
But the initial Paulson idea was simple. The gov't sets up an RTC type outfit that buys mortgages from the institutions. The current market value on a mark to market basis is approaching zero, there is no market. But if you are not tied to the demands to write down or limit exposure or get them off your books, they might be work something longer term or at maturity. So, the gov't buys stuff at say 25 cents on the dollar and 10 years from now its worth 50 cents on the dollar. At current rates of return, that wouldn't be such a bad thing and it wouldn't be all that unrealistic. The original plan was simple and could have even been profitable. Meantime if the gov't is the holder of the worst of the mortgages, the gov't could decide how friendly it would like to be with short sales and workouts and foreclosure moratoriums.
However things change when you let idiots get involved (politicians). So, now I hear all kinds of deviations and an insurance plan instead of a purchase plan. I just don't know where it all stands now. To much pain and drugs right now to devote any focus other than, do I put all my available cash into chasing my worst stocks on a down 700 point day.

Oops djia now down 777.68.... A good 150 point adjustment after the close. The ticker melted down. I'm curious what volume is going to be the last hour. And that huge ending sell off was all with the politicians talking in DC. Could somebody cut their mics???
Dr. Conemangler
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
aka The Malefic One
2015 Wildcat Honda F600
- Steve Collins
- Posts: 164
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: SCNAX
- Car#: 799
Re: Stock Market
So tomorrow is a good day to max out my credit cards and put it in the market, right?
-
- Posts: 3376
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: PSCC
- Location: Orange
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
Percentage, Gio, percentage! Black Monday back in the '80s saw the Dow lose 23% of its value in one day. This is 7%; Nasdaq was down 9% and the S&P about 8%.Giovanni Jaramillo wrote:777.68 to be exact........but who's counting!Steve Ekstrand wrote:Settling in on 735 down right now. Or 738.....
Now if Wall St. is really scared, they'll suspend trading for tomorrow.
Last edited by Bob Beamesderfer on Tue Sep 30, 2008 8:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
-
- Posts: 3376
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: PSCC
- Location: Orange
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
Not enough oversight in the original plan, but then Boehner and the GOP members of the House got all squirrelly trying to look like they give a damn about non-millionaires. But that was days ago. As of yesterday morning, the whole thing was on track.Steve Ekstrand wrote:
However things change when you let idiots get involved (politicians). So, now I hear all kinds of deviations and an insurance plan instead of a purchase plan. I just don't know where it all stands now. To much pain and drugs right now to devote any focus other than, do I put all my available cash into chasing my worst stocks on a down 700 point day.![]()
-
- Posts: 2761
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
Re: Stock Market
True but that Black Monday was a 1-time blip. We've been "barfing" :barf: up a storm over these past few months. Today it was diarrhea!Bob Beamesderfer wrote:Percentage, Gio, percentage! Black Monday back in the '80s saw the Dow lose 40% of its value in one day. This is 7%; Nasdaq was down 9% and the S&P about 8%.
Now if Wall St. is really scared, they'll suspend trading for tomorrow.
- Sebastian Rios
- King of Fastrack!
- Posts: 1656
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:27 am
- Club: SCNAX
- Car#: 397
- Location: Out to lunch
Re: Stock Market
Seriously though, should we all be "Buying Low" right now? All Ihave is my little 401(k) that I don't really plan on touching for another 30 years, if I can afford it, is now the time to increase deferrals?Steve Collins wrote:So tomorrow is a good day to max out my credit cards and put it in the market, right?
-
- Posts: 3376
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: PSCC
- Location: Orange
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
It wasn't a one-time blip, it too some time for the market to recover. There was a mini-crash about 10 years ago that was a blip, during the Asian market crisis.Giovanni Jaramillo wrote:True but that Black Monday was a 1-time blip. We've been "barfing" :barf: up a storm over these past few months. Today it was diarrhea!Bob Beamesderfer wrote:Percentage, Gio, percentage! Black Monday back in the '80s saw the Dow lose 40% of its value in one day. This is 7%; Nasdaq was down 9% and the S&P about 8%.
Now if Wall St. is really scared, they'll suspend trading for tomorrow.
The index is above its low for the past month. Charts are your friend.

-
- Posts: 2761
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
Re: Stock Market
I rolled over my 401k from my previous company and picked some good mutual funds but even they can't be good in these conditions.Sebastian Rios wrote:Seriously though, should we all be "Buying Low" right now? All Ihave is my little 401(k) that I don't really plan on touching for another 30 years, if I can afford it, is now the time to increase deferrals?Steve Collins wrote:So tomorrow is a good day to max out my credit cards and put it in the market, right?
-
- Posts: 3376
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: PSCC
- Location: Orange
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
the usual advice, regardless of one day in the market, is to put as much into your 401(k) as you can. It's an investment technique called dollar-cost averaging.Sebastian Rios wrote:Seriously though, should we all be "Buying Low" right now? All Ihave is my little 401(k) that I don't really plan on touching for another 30 years, if I can afford it, is now the time to increase deferrals?Steve Collins wrote:So tomorrow is a good day to max out my credit cards and put it in the market, right?
As for what you invest in depends on risk tolerance, when you'll retire. Look for stuff written by my friend Liz Pulliam-Weston; I think she's still writing for MSN's web site. She wrote personal finance for the Register and the Times.

- John Coffey
- Posts: 635
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:24 am
- Club: PSCC
- Car#: 250
- Location: La Habra, CA
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
And that's a good thing IMHO. The stock market is not the economy and many people forget that. Shareholders of ill managed and bankrupt companies need to take the hit. The market had set artificial prices of these companies in expectation of a bailout from you and me. When our representatives in Congress did the right thing and rejected the handout, the stock market has begun repricing. It needs to continue and the correction needs to run its course. Poorly managed companies need to fail and well managed companies should not be taxed to support stupidity.True but that Black Monday was a 1-time blip. We've been "barfing" :barf: up a storm over these past few months. Today it was diarrhea!
And Paulson should be fired for even bringing up this idea in the first place. This has convinced me to vote for Obama. I'm going for the punishment vote.
- Rick Brown
- Current Solo Director
- Posts: 5129
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
- Car#: 240
- Location: Lake Elsinore, CA
Re: Stock Market
If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in Delta Airlines one year ago, you would have $49.00 today.
If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in AIG one year ago, you would have $33.00 today.
If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in Lehman Brothers one year ago, you would have $0.00 today.
But, if you had purchased $1,000 worth of beer one year ago, drank all the beer, then turned in the aluminum cans for recycling refund, you would have received $214.00.
Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle. It is called the 401-Keg.
A recent study found that the average American walks about 900 miles a year.
Another study found that Americans drink, on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year.
That means that, on average, Americans get about 41 miles to the gallon! Makes you proud to be an American!
Hmmm, maybe I should start drinking........
If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in AIG one year ago, you would have $33.00 today.
If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in Lehman Brothers one year ago, you would have $0.00 today.
But, if you had purchased $1,000 worth of beer one year ago, drank all the beer, then turned in the aluminum cans for recycling refund, you would have received $214.00.
Based on the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily & recycle. It is called the 401-Keg.
A recent study found that the average American walks about 900 miles a year.
Another study found that Americans drink, on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year.
That means that, on average, Americans get about 41 miles to the gallon! Makes you proud to be an American!
Hmmm, maybe I should start drinking........
Since light is faster than sound...many people look bright until they speak...
Re: Stock Market
some of us "high performance" models get slightly less than 40 miles to the gallon.. -_-Rick Brown wrote:Another study found that Americans drink, on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year.
That means that, on average, Americans get about 41 miles to the gallon! Makes you proud to be an American!
-
- Posts: 3376
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:26 am
- Club: PSCC
- Location: Orange
- Contact:
Re: Stock Market
I'm glad I'm doing something right.
On Friday, the September jobs report will be out and I suspect that I will have another 100,000 or so more people to share my misery. Unlike the old adage, I don't really want the company.
On Friday, the September jobs report will be out and I suspect that I will have another 100,000 or so more people to share my misery. Unlike the old adage, I don't really want the company.

Re: Stock Market
11:21AM PST DOW -682.98
sure glad we got that bailout boost.
sure glad we got that bailout boost.

-
- Posts: 2761
- Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 11:25 am
- Club: PSCC
Re: Stock Market
Does anyone want my 401k? It's useless at this point!
Jesus-H Christ! WTF is going on??? Damn you G-DUBYA BUSH!!!

